Thoughts of a Dog
ANALYSIS: 1900 - 2025

The Political Economy of Gender in the West

How the policy shift from Equality of Opportunity to Equality of Outcome, driven by epistemic failure (described at Section 6 below) created structural market distortions and triggered a rational male 'market exit'.

Methodology Note: Political Economy examines how political institutions, the economic system, and law interact to create social outcomes. The academic discipline of Political Economy distinguishes itself from activist, relativistic and unfalsifiable (i.e., epistemically closed) post-modern frameworks (e.g., Critical Theory) that rely on complex, a priori beliefs about 'power structures' - instead treating men and women as equal, rational economic agents responding to incentive structures.

Phase 1 Feminism (1900-1920)

Rights & Opportunity

The establishment of universal suffrage and property rights. A necessary correction to historical legal imbalances.

Valid Market Baseline
Phase 2/3 Feminism (1970-Present)

Family Engineering

The shift to 'equality of outcomes' via quotas/subsidies, no-fault divorce, and labor intervention dismantled the family incentive structure without replacing it.

Core Thesis

What is 'Market Exit'?

Once the 'rights agenda' (Phase 1 Feminism) was settled, gender dynamics transitioned from a legal struggle to a raw 'market negotiation' (Phase 2/3 Feminism).

'Market Exit' is not collective male laziness, failure or reactionary anger. It is a rational. Men are individually analyzing the social contract of relationships and marriage - which demand high cost (provision) but offers low reward (status) and low security (divorce) and rationally deciding to either exit, not enter or strategically defer market entry.

Importantly, men are not just withholding participation because the price of admission is too high - they are disincentivised to engage in the necessary precursors to market entry also (higher education, high status employment etc...).

1. The Economic Shock

Destruction of the 'Family Wage' (1974)

The abolition of the 'Family Wage' - explicitly ended in Australia by the 1974 National Wage Case (which removed the 'breadwinner' component) and effectively ended in the US by the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1970s inflation, and the UK's Equal Pay Act 1970 - normalized the dual-income household. This created a massive 'supply shock': the labor force doubled, real wages stagnated, and the cost of living (housing) adjusted to absorb the second income.

Market Failure: Surplus Capture

Families now require two incomes to buy the standard of living that one income purchased in 1960. The 'price' of family life doubled, but the 'product' remained the same.

Productivity vs. Compensation (1948-2022)

US Data

3. The Status Shock

Quotas & Subsidies vs. Hypergamy

Education quotas and subsidies artificially accelerated female status. However, mating preferences remained asymmetrical. Female hypergamy (preference for higher-status mates, per Buss, 1989) persists, while male hypogamy (willingness to marry status-neutral/down) remains stable. This creates a structural mismatch: as women rise, their pool of 'acceptable' mates shrinks, whereas men's pool expands but their ROI on high-status striving diminishes.

Market Failure: Mate Disequilibrium

'Female education quotas & subsidies' policies inflated female status (demand) while ignoring male status (supply), creating a structural liquidity crisis in the mating market.

The Education Flip (1970-2024)

AU Data

Daily Total Workload (Paid + Unpaid)

AU Iso-Work Data

4. The Efficiency Constraint

The End of Specialization

In addition to the policy shocks outlined above, there remains the persistent constraining factor of time. Modern exhaustion is not due to unequal work hours (which are near identical), but inefficient work structures. The 'generalist' model imposes a heavy cognitive tax.

Market Failure: Comparative Disadvantage

Two people doing 50% of everything incur significantly higher 'task switching' costs than two specialists. The suffering is real, but it is a result of lost efficiency, not male laziness.

5. Policy Failure

Why policy failed to predict the market exit of males?

1. The 'Selective Equality' Failure

Risk/Reward Asymmetry

Policy defined 'Equality' exclusively as access to high-status/low-risk domains (Corporate Boards), systematically excluding low-status/high-risk domains (Sanitation/Defense). We socialized the rewards but left the physical risks privatized to men (94% of fatalities).

2. The 'Inertia of Intervention' Failure

The Parity Overshoot

The methodology lacked a 'stop condition'. Subsidies continued long after parity was achieved (1987), turning intervention into an engine for dominance. This engineered the liquidity crisis by shrinking the pool of 'eligible' partners for high-status women.

3. The 'Static Actor' Failure

The Utility Blindspot

Policymakers assumed male utility was immutable-that men would continue to work regardless of status loss or risk increase. The data proves men are dynamic economic agents who responded to negative ROI by rationally withdrawing their labor supply.

6. The Cultural Turn: The Ideological Pipeline

From Material Rights to Identity Construction

The Foundation
Pre-1960s
1. Materialism / Modernism

Focus on objective legal rights (Suffrage, Property) and material conditions. Phase 1 Feminism aligns here.

The Turn
1960s-70s
2. Idealism / Post-Modernism

Mutation of Foucault (Social Construction) and Marx (Oppressor / Oppressed). Power is redefined from class to identity groups.

1980s
3. Critical Theory & Standpoint Theory

Academia becomes activism. Understanding is replaced by 'changing'. a priori positions become the norm: evidence is sought to fit pre-determined findings of oppression.

1990s
4. Exclusionary Intersectionality

Kimberlé Crenshaw's framework excludes 'Male' and 'Class' as vectors of disadvantage, rendering male suffering invisible.

2000s+
5. Institutional Capture

Cultural industries (Media, Publishing, Psychology, HR) are captured by the same class as the producers of critical theories. Producers = Disseminators. Biological reality is erased from policy.

7. Data Synthesis

Policy Interventions vs. Market Exit

Timeline Analysis (1900-2025)

Correlation of Structural Shocks with the Rational Male Market Exit Strategy

Gender Structural Disadvantage Index
--
Scale: -1 (Male Focus) to +1 (Female Focus)
Market Impact (Solid Curves)
Median Marriage Age (Market Avg)
Male Dissatisfaction
Female Dissatisfaction
Structural Forces (Solid Background)
Female Share of Workforce
Male Participation Rate
Male Degree Share
Male Risk Share (Deaths)
Male Casual Labour Share

Gender Structural Disadvantage Index (GSDI)

Parity = 0

This index normalizes structural indicators on a scale of -1.0 (Total Male Disadvantage) to +1.0 (Total Female Disadvantage). The calculation reveals a heavy structural skew against men in risk, education, and utility.

-1.0 (Male)
+1.0 (Female)
0 (Parity)
-0.42
RiskExposure to physical danger and workplace fatalities.
EducationAcquisition of human capital (University Degrees).
Utility (Labor)Active economic participation and provision role.
DissatisfactionSubjective well-being and mental health gap.
Secondary Finding: The Structural Floor

Even if we exclude labor participation (assuming work is optional), the Adjusted Gap remains high. This confirms that male disadvantage is structural (Risk/Education), not just a result of market exit.

Conclusion: Working class boys are subsidising elite women

1. The Diagnosis

Phase 1 Feminism began as a rational market correction (Equality of Opportunity). However, Phase 2/3 mutated into a structural overcorrection (Equality of Outcome/Outcomes), influenced by the exclusionary intersectionality detailed in Section 6.

2. The Response

The so-called 'Backlash' is not a reactionary tantrum. It is the rational response of the market. Men are exiting because the terms of trade—high risk, high cost, low authority—have become illogical.

3. The Baked-In Crisis for Boys

This is a class crisis. Wealthy men can manage the risk; poor men are structurally evicted. The price is paid in measurable suffering: lower life expectancy, higher suicide rates (3x), falling university enrollment, and higher incarceration. Even if we fully corrected policy immediately, there are now entire generations of boys with these disadvantages 'baked in.' The deficit will track them for their entire lives (and the lives of their children).

8. The 'Gender New Deal'

Correction to a Market Failure

The solution is a return to Phase 1 Feminism thinking: Equality of Opportunity. We must reject the distortion of Quotas & Subsidies and rebuild the incentive structure for participation. This is not a concession to 'reactionary behaviour', but a necessary correction (market exit) to a market failure created by policy capture.

1. Opportunity, Not Quotas

End the 'deficit model' of boyhood and the female capture of social production (defining education by feminised values like compliance over masculine virtues like competition).

  • Elevate trade status. Frame as high-status technical mastery, avoiding tracking of boys into '2nd best' options and away from university.
  • Re-open universities to men. Address the hostile environment (e.g., academic censure, reduced viewpoint diversity, unchecked student power).
  • Mandate empirical standards in Universities and Cultural Industries (Media, Publishing, Psychology). Defund activism-disguised-as-inquiry (i.e., 'research' commencing from apriori assumptions about gender power relations).
  • Sunset clauses for all quotas/subsidies (education and workplace) when parity is reached or preference is determined as driver.

2. Income Splitting

Fix the 'two-income trap'.

  • Family as single tax unit.
  • Remove tax penalty on labour specialization.
  • Incentivize family capital accumulation (e.g., tax-advantaged savings focused on wealth building equity for working class families).

3. Risk Mitigation

Detoxify the Marriage Contract.

  • Reduce risk for primary earner (Male or Female).
  • 50/50 custody presumption.
  • Protect pre-marital assets.
  • Ensure paternity certainty ahead of birth father registration (excluding in IVF context).